← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket18 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi12 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 6
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket18 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $88.2KLiquidity $320.7KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi12 catalog outcomesOpenWhich Senate races will be within 5 points?
Volume $20.0KOpen interest $9.3KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: which-senate-races-will-be-within-5-20260727153827321
will-the-alaska-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827326
will-the-colorado-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827332
will-the-florida-special-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827333
will-the-georgia-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827335
will-the-iowa-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827325
will-the-kansas-2026-senate-race-be-within-5
will-the-maine-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827323
will-the-michigan-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827324
will-the-minnesota-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827336
will-the-montana-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827337
will-the-nebraska-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827329
will-the-new-hampshire-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827328
will-the-new-mexico-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827331
will-the-north-carolina-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827334
will-the-ohio-special-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827327
will-the-south-carolina-2026-senate-race-be-within-5
will-the-texas-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827322
will-the-virginia-2026-senate-race-be-within-5-20260727153827330
Kalshi
Market: KXSENATEWITHIN5-26NOV03
KXSENATEWITHIN5-26NOV03-AK
KXSENATEWITHIN5-26NOV03-FL
KXSENATEWITHIN5-26NOV03-IA
KXSENATEWITHIN5-26NOV03-KS
KXSENATEWITHIN5-26NOV03-ME
KXSENATEWITHIN5-26NOV03-MI
KXSENATEWITHIN5-26NOV03-NE
KXSENATEWITHIN5-26NOV03-NH
KXSENATEWITHIN5-26NOV03-NC
KXSENATEWITHIN5-26NOV03-OH
KXSENATEWITHIN5-26NOV03-SC
KXSENATEWITHIN5-26NOV03-TX
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75.5% | 81.5% | 70.0% | −6.0 | |
| 70.5% | 69.0% | 70.0% | +1.5 | |
| 62.5% | 62.5% | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 59.5% | 57.0% | 66.0% | +2.5 | |
| 56.5% | 55.5% | 56.0% | +1.0 | |
| 55.5% | 44.0% | 47.0% | +11.5 | |
| 53.5% | 58.5% | 58.0% | −5.0 | |
| 52.5% | 52.5% | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 46.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | −4.0 | |
| 34.5% | 35.5% | 39.0% | −1.0 | |
| 32.5% | 35.0% | 33.0% | −2.5 | |
| 23.0% | 23.0% | 18.0% | 0.0 |
Polymarket only · 6ColoradoGeorgiaMinnesotaMontanaNew MexicoVirginia
Probability chart · Texas
loading history
No history to chart yet