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Updated 1s agoPolymarket15 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi12 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 4Kalshi only · 1
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket15 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $216.7KLiquidity $89.4KEnds Jan 2
Kalshi12 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $58.1KOpen interest $24.2KEnds Jan 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: which-senators-will-vote-for-the-clarity-act-20260729190926658
will-alex-padilla-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926673
will-andy-kim-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926668
will-catherine-cortez-masto-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926660
will-jacky-rosen-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926672
will-jerry-moran-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926662
will-john-fetterman-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926670
will-josh-hawley-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926667
will-kirsten-gillibrand-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926663
will-lisa-blunt-rochester-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926664
will-mark-warner-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926661
will-mike-lee-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926659
will-rand-paul-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926669
will-raphael-warnock-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926666
will-ruben-gallego-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926665
will-thom-tillis-vote-yea-on-the-clarity-act-20260729190926671
Kalshi
Market: KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-AKIM
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-AALS
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-CMAS
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-JMOR
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-JHAW
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-KGIL
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-LROC
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-MWAR
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-MLEE
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-RPAU
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-RWAR
KXSVOTECLARITY-MAY26-RGAL
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | +5.3 | |
| 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.0% | +2.0 | |
| 9.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | +4.5 | |
| 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | +1.0 | |
| 8.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | +3.5 | |
| 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | +2.5 | |
| 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | +2.0 | |
| 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 0.0 | |
| 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | +0.6 | |
| 1.8% | 3.5% | 8.0% | −1.6 | |
| 1.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% | −4.4 |
Polymarket only · 4Alex PadillaJacky RosenJohn FettermanThom Tillis
Kalshi only · 1Angela Alsobrooks
Probability chart · Raphael Warnock
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