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Updated 1s agoPolymarket22 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi25 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Kalshi only · 3
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket22 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $419.0KLiquidity $228.8KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi25 catalog outcomesOpenWhich states will redistrict before the midterms?
Volume $2.35MOpen interest $297.5KEnds Nov 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: which-states-will-use-new-congressional-maps-in-the-midterms
will-alabama-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-california-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-florida-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-georgia-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-illinois-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-indiana-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-kansas-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-louisiana-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-maryland-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-minnesota-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-missouri-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-nebraska-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-new-jersey-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-new-york-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-north-carolina-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-ohio-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-south-carolina-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-texas-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-utah-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-virginia-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-washington-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
will-wisconsin-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections
Kalshi
Market: KXREDISTRICTING-26
KXREDISTRICTING-26-AL
KXREDISTRICTING-26-AZ
KXREDISTRICTING-26-CA
KXREDISTRICTING-26-FL
KXREDISTRICTING-26-GA
KXREDISTRICTING-26-IL
KXREDISTRICTING-26-IND
KXREDISTRICTING-26-KS
KXREDISTRICTING-26-LA
KXREDISTRICTING-26-MD
KXREDISTRICTING-26-MN
KXREDISTRICTING-26-MS
KXREDISTRICTING-26-MIS
KXREDISTRICTING-26-NEBR
KXREDISTRICTING-26-NJ
KXREDISTRICTING-26-NY
KXREDISTRICTING-26-NC
KXREDISTRICTING-26-OH
KXREDISTRICTING-26-SC
KXREDISTRICTING-26-TN
KXREDISTRICTING-26-TX
KXREDISTRICTING-26-UTAH
KXREDISTRICTING-26-VIR
KXREDISTRICTING-26-WA
KXREDISTRICTING-26-WI
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.6% | 97.4% | 97.9% | +1.1 | |
| 96.3% | 97.5% | 98.7% | −1.3 | |
| 95.6% | 97.8% | 97.2% | −2.2 | |
| 95.3% | 97.6% | 97.2% | −2.2 | |
| 94.5% | 97.5% | 97.0% | −3.0 | |
| 93.0% | 97.0% | 96.2% | −4.0 | |
| 92.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | +88.7 | |
| 64.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | +61.5 | |
| 7.0% | 1.6% | 3.9% | +5.5 | |
| 6.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | +5.0 | |
| 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | +3.3 | |
| 5.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | +3.0 | |
| 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | +3.1 | |
| 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | +2.2 | |
| 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | +1.6 | |
| 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | +0.6 | |
| 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | +1.3 | |
| 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | +0.8 | |
| 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | +1.4 | |
| 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | +1.3 | |
| 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | +0.3 | |
| 0.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | −1.9 |
Kalshi only · 3ArizonaMississippiTennessee
Probability chart · Florida
loading history
No history to chart yet