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Updated 1s agoPolymarket22 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi23 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Kalshi only · 1
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket22 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $128.4KLiquidity $180.7KEnds Jan 1
Kalshi23 catalog outcomesOpenWho will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
Volume $42.5KOpen interest $23.7KEnds Jan 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: who-will-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204
will-alan-campbell-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204136
will-alex-norris-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204122
will-angela-eagle-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204130
will-angela-rayner-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204126
will-angela-smith-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204135
will-anneliese-midgley-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204134
will-bridget-phillipson-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204137
will-chris-bryant-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204131
will-douglas-alexander-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204132
will-ed-miliband-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204118
will-heidi-alexander-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204127
will-john-healey-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204117
will-jonathan-reynolds-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204125
will-lisa-nandy-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204129
will-louise-haigh-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204116
will-lucy-powell-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204123
will-miatta-fahnbulleh-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204128
will-pat-mcfadden-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204124
will-shabana-mahmood-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204119
will-stephen-kinnock-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204133
will-wes-streeting-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204120
will-yvette-cooper-be-the-first-to-leave-the-burnham-cabinet-20260803162204121
Kalshi
Market: KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-ACAM
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-ANOR
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-AEAG
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-ARAY
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-BAR
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-AMID
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-BPHI
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-CBRY
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-DALE
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-EMIL
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-HALE
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-IND
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-JHEA
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-JREY
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-LNAN
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-LHAI
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-LPOW
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-MFAH
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-PMCF
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-SMAH
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-SKIN
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-WSTR
KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-YCOO
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5% | 12.5% | 19.0% | +1.0 | |
| 10.4% | 7.5% | 14.0% | +2.9 | |
| 10.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | +6.5 | |
| 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | +1.4 | |
| 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | +1.9 | |
| 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | +1.1 | |
| 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | +1.1 | |
| 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | +1.0 | |
| 4.2% | 1.0% | 3.0% | +3.1 | |
| 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | +0.2 | |
| 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | +0.4 | |
| 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | +1.3 | |
| 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | +1.3 | |
| 3.9% | 2.0% | 4.0% | +1.8 | |
| 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | −1.8 | |
| 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | +0.2 | |
| 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | −0.4 | |
| 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | +0.1 | |
| 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.0 | |
| 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | −0.1 | |
| 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | −1.5 | |
| 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | −1.7 |
Kalshi only · 1Indeterminate
Probability chart · John Healey
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