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Updated 1s agoPolymarket16 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi8 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 9Kalshi only · 1
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket16 catalog outcomesOpenVenezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Volume $408.2KLiquidity $257.9KEnds Dec 31
Kalshi8 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $37.1KOpen interest $24.1KEnds Jan 2
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: venezuela-de-facto-leader-end-of-2026
will-dan-caine-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-delcy-rodrguez-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-dinorah-figuera-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-diosdado-cabello-rondn-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-donald-trump-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-edmundo-gonzlez-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-evan-pettus-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-frank-donovan-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-jorge-rodrguez-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-marco-rubio-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-mara-corina-machado-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-nicols-maduro-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-there-be-no-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-pete-hegseth-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-richard-grenell-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
will-vladimir-padrino-lpez-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-venezuela-at-the-end-of-2026
Kalshi
Market: KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-DROD
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-DCAB
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-EGON
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-GLOP
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-JROD
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-MMAC
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-NMAD
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-VLOP
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93.5% | 92.0% | 88.0% | +1.5 | |
| 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | +1.8 | |
| 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | −1.4 | |
| 0.1% | 2.5% | 6.0% | −2.4 | |
| 0.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | −2.4 | |
| 0.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | −0.9 | |
| 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | −0.9 |
Polymarket only · 9Dan CaineDinorah FigueraDonald TrumpEvan PettusFrank DonovanMarco RubioNo Head of StatePete Hegseth
Kalshi only · 1Gustavo González López
Probability chart · Delcy Rodríguez
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