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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
WI-08 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenWI-08 House Election Winner
Volume $26.4KLiquidity $65.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $20.8KOpen interest $6.2KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: wi-08-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-wi-08-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-wi-08-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-WI08-26
KXHOUSERACE-WI08-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-WI08-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87.5% | 87.5% | 90.0% | 0.0 | |
| 10.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | −1.5 |
Probability chart · Tony Wied (R)
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