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Updated 1s agoPolymarket1 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi1 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket1 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $473.8KLiquidity $16.4KEnds Jan 1
Kalshi1 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $292.1KOpen interest $75.6KEnds Jan 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: will-bitcoin-outperform-gold-in-2026
will-bitcoin-outperform-gold-in-2026
Kalshi
Market: KXBTCVSGOLD-26
KXBTCVSGOLD-26
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.5% | 46.6% | 50.0% | +2.9 |
Probability chart · In 2026
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