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Updated 1s agoPolymarket1 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi1 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Will Pierre Poilievre resign as the conservative party leader before Jan 1, 2027?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket1 catalog outcomesOpenPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Volume $159.3KLiquidity $13.0KEnds Jan 1
Kalshi1 catalog outcomesOpenPierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
Volume $9.3KOpen interest $3.5KEnds Jan 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: poilievre-out-as-leader-of-conservatives-before-2027
poilievre-out-as-leader-of-conservatives-before-2027
Kalshi
Market: KXPOILIEVREOUT-26FEB15
KXPOILIEVREOUT-26FEB15-27
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | +0.4 |
Probability chart · Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
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