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Updated 1s agoPolymarket37 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi12 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 28Kalshi only · 3
Winnipeg mayoral election winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket37 catalog outcomesOpenWinnipeg Mayoral Election
Volume $29.5KLiquidity $180.0KEnds Oct 29
Kalshi12 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $4.8KOpen interest $2.8KEnds Oct 28
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: winnipeg-mayoral-election-2026
will-candidate-b-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226124
will-candidate-c-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226125
will-candidate-d-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226126
will-candidate-e-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226127
will-candidate-f-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226128
will-candidate-g-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226129
will-candidate-h-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226130
will-candidate-i-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226131
will-candidate-j-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226132
will-candidate-k-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226133
will-candidate-l-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226134
will-candidate-m-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226135
will-candidate-n-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226136
will-candidate-o-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226137
will-candidate-p-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226138
will-candidate-q-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226139
will-candidate-r-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226140
will-candidate-s-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226141
will-candidate-t-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226142
will-candidate-u-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226143
will-candidate-v-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226144
will-candidate-w-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226145
will-candidate-x-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226146
will-candidate-y-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226147
will-candidate-z-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226148
will-christopher-clacio-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226118
will-don-woodstock-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226119
will-johnny-calderon-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226120
will-joshua-pagdato-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226114
will-kevin-klein-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election
will-mazher-alam-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226115
will-michael-vogiatzakis-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226117
will-noah-redden-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226121
will-someone-else-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226149
will-scott-gillingham-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226113
will-umar-hayat-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226116
will-zachary-uminski-win-the-2026-winnipeg-mayoral-election-1786136226122
Kalshi
Market: KXWINNIPEGMAYOR-26OCT28
KXWINNIPEGMAYOR-26OCT28-BGRO
KXWINNIPEGMAYOR-26OCT28-CCLA
KXWINNIPEGMAYOR-26OCT28-DWOO
KXWINNIPEGMAYOR-26OCT28-JCAL
KXWINNIPEGMAYOR-26OCT28-JPAG
KXWINNIPEGMAYOR-26OCT28-KKLE
KXWINNIPEGMAYOR-26OCT28-MALA
KXWINNIPEGMAYOR-26OCT28-MVOG
KXWINNIPEGMAYOR-26OCT28-NRED
KXWINNIPEGMAYOR-26OCT28-SGIL
KXWINNIPEGMAYOR-26OCT28-TDRE
KXWINNIPEGMAYOR-26OCT28-UHAY
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63.5% | 59.5% | 50.0% | +4.0 | |
| 17.6% | 16.0% | 17.0% | +1.6 | |
| 9.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | +4.1 | |
| 7.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | +4.5 | |
| 1.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% | −2.4 | |
| 0.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% | −3.2 | |
| 0.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% | −3.2 | |
| 0.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% | −3.3 | |
| 0.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% | −3.3 |
Polymarket only · 28Candidate BCandidate CCandidate DCandidate ECandidate FCandidate GCandidate HCandidate I
Kalshi only · 3Brad GrossMike VogiatzakisTracey Drexler
Probability chart · Scott Gillingham
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