Selected outcome
Alcatraz reopened in 2026?
wide spread 2–90%
15%
Alcatraz reopened in 2026? · 15%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Alcatraz reopened in 2026?
Loading price history.
Markets
Open · $95 24h · $1,486 vol
wide spread 2–90%
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 89.6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.