Selected outcome
December 31, 2027
8%
December 31, 2027 · 8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
December 31, 2026Canada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,681 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 2¢
December 31, 2027Canada applies for full EU membership by December 31, 2027?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $109 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority. An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies. A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify. Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify. Once a qualifying application has been submitted, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the European Union accepts, rejects, deems inadmissible, or acts on the application, and whether the application is later withdrawn. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, the Council of the European Union, the European Council, and the European Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.