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Core PCE YoY - September 2026

Openone winner

Selected outcome

3.1%

wide spread 47–65%

3.1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 29, 9:30 AM ET

Price

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Markets

  • ≤2.7%

    Will Core PCE YoY be 2.7% or less in September?

    1%

    Open · $55 24h · $2,337 vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 1.7¢

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  • 2.8%

    Will Core PCE YoY be 2.8% in September?

    <1%

    Open · $15 24h · $367 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢

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  • 2.9%

    Will Core PCE YoY be 2.9% in September?

    <1%

    Open · $29 24h · $2,463 vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.5¢

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  • 3.0%

    Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?

    33%

    Open · $266 24h · $12k vol

    Bid 30¢ · Ask 36¢

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  • 3.1%

    Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?

    No quote

    Open · $780 24h · $5,017 vol

    wide spread 47–65%

    Bid 47¢ · Ask 65¢

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  • 3.2%

    Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in September?

    7%

    Open · $152 24h · $1,218 vol

    Bid 2.8¢ · Ask 11.7¢

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  • 3.3%+

    Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or more in September?

    8%

    Open · $219 24h · $797 vol

    wide spread 3–34%

    Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 34.3¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$1,517
Volume
$24k
Liquidity
$8,830
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 29, 9:30 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for September 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on October 29, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure (the PCE price index excluding food and energy), not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure. If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

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