Selected outcome
14°C
14°C
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 20, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
12°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?
1%
Open · $11 24h · $17k vol
last
Ask 5.4¢
13°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 20?
<1%
Open · $515 24h · $14k vol
last
Ask 6.4¢
14°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $1,470 24h · $13k vol
Bid 92.1¢
15°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $432 24h · $8,838 vol
Ask 0.2¢
16°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20?
<1%
Open · $1,531 24h · $12k vol
last
Ask 1.6¢
17°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $11 24h · $3,193 vol
Ask 0.1¢
18°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 20?
<1%
Open · $11 24h · $3,167 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
19°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $1,322 vol
Ask 0.1¢
20°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $1,028 vol
Ask 0.4¢
21°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 20?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $125 vol
Ask 0.1¢
22°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or higher on October 20?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $35 vol
Ask 0.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 20, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.