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Highest temperature in Houston on October 21?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

84-85°F

47%

84-85°F · 47%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution source
weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • 75°F or below

    Will the highest temperature in Houston be 75°F or below on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $76 24h · $395 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 76-77°F

    Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $56 24h · $414 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 78-79°F

    Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $29 24h · $301 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 80-81°F

    Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 21?

    1%

    Open · $502 24h · $1,855 vol

    Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 1.4¢

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  • 82-83°F

    Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 21?

    43%

    Open · $2,501 24h · $5,837 vol

    Bid 39¢ · Ask 46¢

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  • 84-85°F

    Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 21?

    47%

    Open · $2,212 24h · $7,083 vol

    Bid 45¢ · Ask 48¢

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  • 86-87°F

    Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 21?

    7%

    Open · $2,033 24h · $2,562 vol

    Bid 6.5¢ · Ask 7.6¢

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  • 88-89°F

    Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 21?

    1%

    Open · $935 24h · $1,265 vol

    Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 1.4¢

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  • 90-91°F

    Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 21?

    1%

    Open · $764 24h · $1,283 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1.2¢

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  • 92-93°F

    Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $409 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 94°F or higher

    Will the highest temperature in Houston be 94°F or higher on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $250 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$9,106
Volume
$22k
Liquidity
$21k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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