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Highest temperature in Manila on October 22?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

33°C

52%

33°C · 52%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution source
weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • 28°C or below

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on October 22?

    <1%

    Open · $121 24h · $168 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 29°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 22?

    <1%

    Open · $314 24h · $478 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

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  • 30°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 22?

    <1%

    Open · $689 24h · $907 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • 31°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 22?

    2%

    Open · $880 24h · $956 vol

    Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 2.6¢

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  • 32°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 22?

    32%

    Open · $3,224 24h · $3,369 vol

    Bid 30¢ · Ask 33¢

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  • 33°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 22?

    52%

    Open · $3,267 24h · $3,744 vol

    Bid 50¢ · Ask 54¢

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  • 34°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 22?

    14%

    Open · $1,585 24h · $1,873 vol

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 16¢

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  • 35°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 22?

    1%

    Open · $836 24h · $750 vol

    Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 1.3¢

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  • 36°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on October 22?

    <1%

    Open · $507 24h · $507 vol

    last

    Ask 0.2¢

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  • 37°C

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on October 22?

    <1%

    Open · $223 24h · $270 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 38°C or higher

    Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on October 22?

    <1%

    Open · $57 24h · $103 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$12k
Volume
$13k
Liquidity
$56k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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