← Polymarket

How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?

Open

Selected outcome

Below 4.70%

wide spread 43–54%

Below 4.70%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Below 4.73%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in October?

    62%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,760 vol

    Bid 59¢ · Ask 64¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.70%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $1,774 vol

    wide spread 43–54%

    Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.67%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in October?

    37%

    Open · $252 24h · $1,859 vol

    Bid 36¢ · Ask 38¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.64%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October?

    21%

    Open · $20 24h · $2,091 vol

    wide spread 20–36%

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 36¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.60%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% in October?

    23%

    Open · $68 24h · $1,142 vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.55%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% in October?

    17%

    Open · $55 24h · $1,715 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.50%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% in October?

    11%

    Open · $116 24h · $678 vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.45%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in October?

    8%

    Open · $85 24h · $789 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • Below 4.40%

    Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in October?

    6%

    Open · $0 24h · $953 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 7¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$596
Volume
$13k
Liquidity
$2,221
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

View on Polymarket