Selected outcome
Above 3,510 ft
89%
Above 3,510 ft · 89%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Apr 15, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- data.usbr.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Above 3,510 ftWill Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?
89%
Open · $1,187 24h · $24k vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 89¢
3,500–3,510 ftWill Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?
12%
Open · $1,056 24h · $29k vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢
3,490–3,500 ftWill Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,490 but below 3,500 ft?
1%
Open · $268 24h · $5,026 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
Below 3,490 ftWill Lake Powell's minimum elevation fall below 3,490 ft?
1%
Open · $319 24h · $4,249 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Apr 15, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market resolves based on the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Powell (Glen Canyon Dam) between market creation and March 31, 2027, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation. See each individual market for its bracket and full resolution terms. Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to March 31, 2027, all outcomes are settled after the window closes, based on the lowest daily elevation recorded during the window. The resolution source is the minimum daily lake elevation published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation for Lake Powell at Glen Canyon Dam, available at https://data.usbr.gov/catalog/2362/item/508. USBR data is provisional and subject to revision; the lowest daily elevation reflected in USBR data as of April 15, 2027 governs, and revisions published after April 15, 2027 will not change the outcome. Daily elevation data published at https://lakepowell.water-data.com/ may also be referenced, but if it disagrees with USBR, the USBR value governs. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.