Selected outcome
25-29
35%
25-29 · 35%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 11:59 PM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
<20Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
13%
Open · $1,151 24h · $6,749 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 15¢
20-24Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
34%
Open · $410 24h · $1,995 vol
Bid 31.9¢ · Ask 36.8¢
25-29Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
35%
Open · $694 24h · $3,681 vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 36¢
30-34Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
13%
Open · $160 24h · $1,924 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 15¢
35-39Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
2%
Open · $69 24h · $1,371 vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 4.1¢
40+Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $1,800 vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 4.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 11:59 PM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from October 19, 2026, through October 25, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.