Selected outcome
October 31
4%
October 31 · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
October 31Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by October 31?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $2,604 vol
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 6¢
- November 30
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by November 30?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 10–49%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 49¢
- December 31
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by December 31?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $134 vol
wide spread 26–49%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 49¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.