Selected outcome
<2.5%
48%
<2.5% · 48%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 27, 7:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- bechirot.gov.il (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
<2.5%Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
48%
Open · $134 24h · $2,881 vol
Bid 47¢ · Ask 49¢
2.5-3.25%Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
13%
Open · $0 24h · $1,442 vol
wide spread 11–41%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 41¢
3.25-4%Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
23%
Open · $50 24h · $1,761 vol
wide spread 7–33%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 33¢
4-5%Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $2,969 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 7.8¢
5%+Will Amcha Yisrael win 5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
3%
Open · $3 24h · $541 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 27, 7:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Amcha Yisrael party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Amcha Yisrael's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Amcha Yisrael passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).