Selected outcome
December 31
wide spread 4–16%
December 31
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
December 31
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Markets
December 31Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by December 31?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $223 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 3.6¢ · Ask 16¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.