Selected outcome
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
wide spread 11–24%
12%
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? · 12%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
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Markets

Open · $8 24h · $21k vol
wide spread 11–24%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 24¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.