Selected outcome
December 31, 2026
22%
December 31, 2026 · 22%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
December 31, 2026Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
22%
Open · $50 24h · $26k vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 23¢
October 31, 2026Lecornu out as French PM by October 31, 2026?
2%
Open · $7 24h · $2,516 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.