Selected outcome
December 31, 2027
26%
December 31, 2027 · 26%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
December 31, 2026Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $6,973 vol
Bid 3.6¢ · Ask 5.8¢
June 30, 2027Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by June 30, 2027?
7%
Open · $0 24h · $1,729 vol
Bid 4.8¢ · Ask 8.6¢
December 31, 2027Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by December 31, 2027?
26%
Open · $0 24h · $4,233 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 29¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leopold Aschenbrenner between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.