Selected outcome
December 31
7%
December 31 · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
December 31
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Markets
December 31Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
7%
Open · $1,263 24h · $755k vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.