Selected outcome
Natural Disaster in 2026?
11%
Natural Disaster in 2026? · 11%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Feb 28, 2027 ET
Price
Natural Disaster in 2026?
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Markets
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Feb 28, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf