← Polymarket

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

4+

71%

4+ · 71%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • 3

    Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?

    28%

    Open · $87 24h · $5,882 vol

    Bid 27¢ · Ask 29¢

    Open full market view →
  • 4+

    Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?

    71%

    Open · $302 24h · $12k vol

    Bid 70¢ · Ask 71¢

    Open full market view →

Resolved

  • 1

    Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026?

    No

    Settled · no · $0 24h · $6,976 vol

    Open full market view →
  • 2

    Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026?

    No

    Settled · no · $0 24h · $12k vol

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$389
Volume
$37k
Liquidity
$71k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during October 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

View on Polymarket