Selected outcome
December 31
2%
December 31 · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 30, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
November 30Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $12k vol
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 1.8¢
December 31Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?
2%
Open · $20 24h · $8,417 vol
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 2.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 30, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization officially declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern covering plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a determination that constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern under the International Health Regulations will qualify. Other designations will not be considered, including the convening of an Emergency Committee, a Disease Outbreak News publication, a grade assigned under the WHO Emergency Response Framework, and a characterization of the outbreak as a pandemic. A Public Health Emergency of International Concern already in effect at market creation does not qualify; the declaration must occur between market creation and the specified date. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.