Selected outcome
December 31, 2026
22%
December 31, 2026 · 22%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
December 31, 2026Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?
22%
Open · $0 24h · $8,662 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 23¢
- June 30, 2027
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $629 vol
wide spread 80–93%
Bid 80.2¢ · Ask 92.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.