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US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

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US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · 4%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET

Price

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
$848
Volume
$643k
Liquidity
$30k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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