Selected outcome
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
14%
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · 14%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
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Markets
Open · $748 24h · $78k vol
Bid 9.5¢ · Ask 17.7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.