Selected outcome
Delcy Rodríguez
95%
Delcy Rodríguez · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 30, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Nicolás MaduroWill Nicolás Maduro be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $5,067 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
- Delcy Rodríguez
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
95%
Open · $6 24h · $122k vol
Bid 94.1¢ · Ask 95¢
- María Corina Machado
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $55k vol
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 3.4¢
- Diosdado Cabello Rondón
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $1,231 24h · $6,147 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
- Jorge Rodríguez
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $1,113 24h · $9,689 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
- Edmundo González
Will Edmundo González be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $4,128 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
- Donald Trump
Will Donald Trump be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $3,005 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
- Vladimir Padrino López
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $181 24h · $68k vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
- Dinorah Figuera
Will Dinorah Figuera be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $5,196 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.2¢
- Marco Rubio
Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $6,720 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1.9¢
- Evan Pettus
Will Evan Pettus be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $7,444 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
- Dan Caine
Will Dan Caine be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $3,349 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
- Pete Hegseth
Will Pete Hegseth be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $3,113 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
- Frank Donovan
Will Frank Donovan be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $42k vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
- Richard Grenell
Will Richard Grenell be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $7,538 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
- No Head of State
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $837 24h · $69k vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
- Other
Will another person be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person A
Will Person A be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person B
Will Person B be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person C
Will Person C be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person D
Will Person D be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person E
Will Person E be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person F
Will Person F be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person G
Will Person G be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person H
Will Person H be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person I
Will Person I be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person J
Will Person J be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person K
Will Person K be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person L
Will Person L be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person M
Will Person M be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person N
Will Person N be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person O
Will Person O be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person P
Will Person P be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person Q
Will Person Q be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person R
Will Person R be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person S
Will Person S be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person T
Will Person T be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person U
Will Person U be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person V
Will Person V be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person W
Will Person W be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person X
Will Person X be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person Y
Will Person Y be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Person Z
Will Person Z be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 30, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.