Selected outcome
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
44%
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31? · 44%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
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Markets

Open · $229 24h · $5,500 vol
Bid 42¢ · Ask 45¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
Israel is scheduled to hold Knesset elections on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Knesset votes on whether to express confidence in a new government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A vote will qualify regardless of its passage. A motion of no confidence in an existing government will not qualify. The continuation in office of the outgoing caretaker government will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.