Selected outcome
No release by November 1
97%
No release by November 1 · 97%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 7:59 PM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
October 19–October 25Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?
2%
Open · $6 24h · $20k vol
Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 2.3¢
October 26–November 1Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $12k vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 3.2¢
No release by November 1Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?
97%
Open · $60 24h · $166k vol
Bid 96¢ · Ask 97.6¢
Resolved
October 5–October 11Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $29k vol
October 12–October 18Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $50k vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 7:59 PM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.