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Which cities will Russia enter by June 30, 2027?

OpenNo trades

Selected outcome

Sloviansk

wide spread 1–96%

Sloviansk

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jun 30, 2027 ET
Resolution source
maps.app.goo.gl (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Sloviansk

    Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30, 2027?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 1–96%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 96¢

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  • Sumy

    Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30, 2027?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

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  • Druzkhivka

    Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30, 2027?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 1–96%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 96¢

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  • Kramatorsk

    Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30, 2027?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 1–96%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 96¢

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  • Kharkiv

    Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30, 2027?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 1–96%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 96¢

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  • Kherson

    Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30, 2027?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 1–96%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 96¢

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  • Zaporizhia

    Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30, 2027?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 1–96%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 96¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$0
Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open int.
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How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jun 30, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of the specified city or settlement between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas - Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain - Assessed Russian Advances Shading under the following layers will not qualify: - Claimed Russian Territory Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

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