Selected outcome
Saudi Arabia
28%
Saudi Arabia · 28%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
RussiaWill the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?
5%
Open · $479 24h · $22k vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢
ChinaWill the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?
6%
Open · $580 24h · $12k vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢
Saudi ArabiaWill the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?
28%
Open · $1,635 24h · $35k vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 29¢
IranWill the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Iran by December 31?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $9,110 vol
Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 3.9¢
IsraelWill the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Israel by December 31?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $1,545 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 2.9¢
North KoreaWill the OpenAI spy be accused of working for North Korea by December 31?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $1,710 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3.8¢
GoogleWill the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $15k vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2.4¢
MetaWill the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31?
5%
Open · $1,384 24h · $16k vol
Bid 4.9¢ · Ask 6¢
AnthropicWill the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Anthropic by December 31?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $15k vol
Bid 3.7¢ · Ask 4.4¢
SpaceXAI / Elon MuskWill the OpenAI spy be accused of working for SpaceXAI / Elon Musk by December 31?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $9,188 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 2.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
On October 13, 2026, the U.S. Department of Justice announced that Abdulrahman Alfozan, an OpenAI employee and Saudi national, had been arrested and charged after allegedly installing a covert audio recording device in an executive conference room at OpenAI's San Francisco offices (see: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/saudi-national-arrested-installing-surreptitious-audio-recording-device-openai). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. federal government or OpenAI publicly alleges that Abdulrahman Alfozan acted on behalf of the listed entity in connection with this incident between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For listed countries, the alleged conduct must be attributed to the government of the listed country, its intelligence or security services, or a state-affiliated entity of the listed country. Alfozan's nationality alone will not qualify. For listed companies or individuals, the alleged conduct must be attributed to the listed company, its subsidiaries, or the listed individual. A qualifying allegation must definitively state that Alfozan acted on behalf of, or under the direction, control, or sponsorship of, the listed entity. Statements that merely speculate about or suggest possible ties, or that describe only contact, cooperation, or association with the listed entity, will not qualify. Qualifying allegations include charging documents, court filings, and on-the-record statements by the U.S. Department of Justice, the FBI, or other U.S. federal agencies or their authorized representatives acting in an official capacity, as well as official statements by OpenAI. Once a qualifying allegation has been made, no subsequent retraction will be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government and OpenAI.
