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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Open

Selected outcome

↑$2.0T

60%

↑$2.0T · 60%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 4, 2027 ET
Resolution source
fe.secondmarket.com (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • ↑$3.0T

    Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

    17%

    Open · $2,664 24h · $1.5M vol

    Bid 16¢ · Ask 17¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑$2.5T

    Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

    24%

    Open · $14k 24h · $485k vol

    Bid 23¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑$2.0T

    Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

    60%

    Open · $101k 24h · $852k vol

    Bid 59¢ · Ask 60¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑$1.75T

    Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

    71%

    Open · $417 24h · $723k vol

    Bid 70¢ · Ask 71¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑$1.5T

    Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

    92%

    Open · $1,223 24h · $287k vol

    Bid 91¢ · Ask 92¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↓$800B

    Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

    3%

    Open · $113 24h · $154k vol

    Bid 2.9¢ · Ask 3.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↓$700B

    Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $78k vol

    Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 3.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↓$600B

    Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $50k vol

    Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 2.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑$4.0T

    Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

    5%

    Open · $421 24h · $915k vol

    Bid 5.2¢ · Ask 5.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑$5.0T

    Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

    3%

    Open · $59 24h · $440k vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 3.4¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$120k
Volume
$6M
Liquidity
$325k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 4, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

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