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Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Open

Selected outcome

1575

36%

1575 · 36%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • 1575

    Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

    36%

    Open · $81 24h · $58k vol

    Bid 33¢ · Ask 39¢

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  • 1600

    Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

    10%

    Open · $0 24h · $16k vol

    Bid 9.4¢ · Ask 10.1¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$81
Volume
$143k
Liquidity
$3,721
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

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