Selected outcome
December 31, 2026
wide spread 18–75%
December 31, 2026
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
Price
December 31, 2026
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Markets
December 31, 2026Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?
No quote
Open · $45 24h · $11k vol
wide spread 18–75%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 75¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holding officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador). Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered. If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used. Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify.