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Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?

Open

Selected outcome

December 31, 2026

wide spread 18–75%

December 31, 2026

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET

Price

December 31, 2026

Loading price history.

Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
$45
Volume
$85k
Liquidity
$94
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holding officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador). Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered. If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used. Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify.

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