Selected outcome
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
5%
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
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Markets
Open · $0 24h · $16k vol
Bid 3.7¢ · Ask 6.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R. R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify. This market is concerned only with the announcement of release. The resolution source for this market will be official information from George R. R. Martin or a consensus of credible sources.