Selected outcome
December 31, 2027
20%
December 31, 2027 · 20%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
December 31, 2027Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?
20%
Open · $120 24h · $5,686 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 21¢
- December 31, 2026
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
6%
Open · $7,022 24h · $624k vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.