Selected outcome
December 31, 2027
wide spread 30–80%
December 31, 2027
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
June 30, 2027Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by June 30, 2027?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $33 vol
wide spread 9–47%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 47¢
- December 31, 2027
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $106 vol
wide spread 30–80%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 80¢
- December 31, 2026
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
5%
Open · $7,230 24h · $1.1M vol
Bid 4.1¢ · Ask 5.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.