Selected outcome
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
6%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
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Markets
Open · $4,458 24h · $3.6M vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.