Selected outcome
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
3%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
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Markets
Open · $680 24h · $1.4M vol
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 2.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.