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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

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December 31

2%

December 31 · 2%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET

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December 31

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Markets

  • December 31

    Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

    2%

    Open · $182 24h · $863k vol

    Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 2.7¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$182
Volume
$7.8M
Liquidity
$63k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

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