Selected outcome
October 31
wide spread 14–31%
31%
October 31 · 31%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
October 31Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?
31%
Open · $293 24h · $1,322 vol
wide spread 14–31%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 31¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.