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Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

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Selected outcome

December 31

8%

December 31 · 8%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • December 31

    Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?

    8%

    Open · $0 24h · $12k vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 8¢

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  • October 31

    Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by October 31, 2026?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,006 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$0
Volume
$37k
Liquidity
$5,005
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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