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Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state?

Open

Before Jul 1, 2027

Selected outcome

Before Jul 1, 2027

39%

Before Jul 1, 2027 · 39%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    Will the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announce a formal deferral of at least $50 million in federal Medicaid matching funds for claims submitted by a single U.S. state other than California or Minnesota, based on fraud, waste, abuse, or program-integrity concerns before Jul 1, 2027?

    39%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 35¢ · Ask 43¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    Will the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announce a formal deferral of at least $50 million in federal Medicaid matching funds for claims submitted by a single U.S. state other than California or Minnesota, based on fraud, waste, abuse, or program-integrity concerns before Jan 1, 2027?

    28%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$175 vol

    Bid 24¢ · Ask 32¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$175
Liquidity
—
Open int.
501 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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