Selected outcome
Defaults
1%
Defaults · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Defaults
Loading price history.
Markets
- Defaults
Will the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 2.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved