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Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

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Before 2027

Selected outcome

Before 2027

4%

Before 2027 · 4%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
USGS (opens in a new tab)

Price

Before 2027

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Markets

  • Before 2027

    Will there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

    4%

    Open · ~$23 24h · ~$20k vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
~$23
Volume
~$20k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
242k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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